Chelsea’s title charge will continue this weekend with a tricky trip to the Emirates to face Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal outfit.
The Gunners aren’t quite as strong as they once were having finished eighth in each of the past two Premier League campaigns, but they did manage to beat the Blues in both of their meetings last season.
Frank Lampard suffered a 3-1 loss in the first meeting before Thomas Tuchel’s men lost 1-0 at home, with Chelsea likely to be chasing revenge this weekend.
Looking back at each of those defeats, it is quite remarkable how Arsenal managed to find the net four times over the course of two matches.
The first contest against Lampard’s men involved the Gunners scoring three, with those originating from a penalty, a free-kick and a fluked cross hit by Bukayo Saka which ended up finding the net.
Chelsea managed to generate 19 shots compared to Arsenal’s 15, but the Emirates side seemed to benefit from the element of chance more so than usual.
The story was arguably even more dramatic in the second meeting at Stamford Bridge, with Tuchel’s outfit able to establish an impressive degree of control throughout the clash.
Chelsea accumulated 19 shots once again, but allowed Arsenal to post only five alongside a possession share of just 32%.
The goal that was scored by Arteta’s side stemmed from a mistake from Jorginho as he attempted to pass back to his goalkeeper after being pressed.
Kepa Arrizabalaga managed to tip the ball away from the goal, but Emile Smith-Rowe found the net seconds later, with Chelsea unable to find an equaliser despite their dominance.
From a probability perspective, if each of those two matches had been replayed 100 times with those random moments removed, Arsenal would have typically struggled to pick up six points.
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As Tuchel chases his first Premier League title as a head coach, he’ll be aware of the need for a strong start to the campaign and considering his interest in numbers and data, he’ll know that his team deserved more from their last bout with the Gunners.
Sunday will present the German with a platform to correct what happened in May.