Arsenal vs. Leeds prediction, odds, line: Soccer expert reveals English Premier League picks, bets for Dec. 18

Arsenal will try to maintain its hold on the fourth spot in the English Premier League table on Saturday when it visits Elland Road to take on Leeds United in a key EPL match. Arsenal (9-2-6) took over the coveted position with a 2-0 win against West Ham on Wednesday to jump over the Hammers in the EPL standings. Leeds United (3-7-7) has been devastated by injuries on the back line, but it nearly pulled off a draw with league power Chelsea last weekend before being annihilated 7-0 by league leader Manchester City on Tuesday.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Arsenal as the -109 favorite (risk $109 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Leeds vs. Arsenal odds. Leeds is the +280 underdog, and a draw is priced at +275 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you lock in your Arsenal vs. Leeds United picks or make any English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated over $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Arsenal vs. Leeds United matchup from every angle and locked in his Premier League picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Leeds vs. Arsenal:

  • Leeds vs. Arsenal spread: Arsenal -0.5 (-120)
  • Leeds vs. Arsenal over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Leeds vs. Arsenal money line: Leeds +280, Arsenal -109, Draw +275
  • LEE: Leeds United is winless in its last 10 matches against Arsenal in all competitions 
  • ARS: Bukayo Saka is tied for sixth in shot-creating actions (61)

Featured Game | Leeds United vs. Arsenal

Why you should back Arsenal

Manager Mikel Arteta has stripped Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of the captaincy and left him out of the last two matches, but the Gunners haven’t wavered. They have scored five goals in the past two games, also beating Southampton 3-0 last weekend. They have scored at least twice in four of their last five. The youth is taking over, with 21-year-old Emile Smith Rowe posting a team-high six goals and Martin Odegaard, 22, scoring four this season. Wingers Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli, both 20, have combined for four goals and six assists. 

The Gunners should have a field day against a Leeds team that is missing all of its key defenders. Arsenal is unbeaten in the past 10 meetings (8-2-0) with the Whites in all competitions, outscoring them 25-6. The Arsenal defense also should have little trouble with a Leeds team that has scored just 17 goals (while conceding 32). Aaron Ramsdale is third in the league with eight clean sheets and has saved 81 percent of the shots he’s faced (third). 

Why you should back Leeds United

The Whites are unbeaten in their last five matches at Elland Road (2-3-0) and face a Gunners team that has been abysmal on the road. Arsenal has lost five of its eight Premier League away games. It has lost three straight, conceding nine goals, though those matchups were with Liverpool, Man City and Everton. Only four Premier League teams have conceded more goals than Arsenal on the road. Leeds can look to the match with Chelsea for motivation. The Whites looked to have a draw in the bag before conceding a penalty four minutes into second-half stoppage time. 

The humiliating loss to Man City also will spur the Whites. While they have four defenders out with injuries and one suspended, they will want a result to stay above the relegation zone. Leeds returned to the EPL for the first time in 16 years last season and finished ninth. Leeds also is missing striker Patrick Bamford and key midfielder Kalvin Phillips, but Raphinha has picked up the slack, scoring seven times this season.

How to make Leeds United vs. Arsenal picks

Green has taken a close look at the Arsenal vs. Leeds match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets and gives his full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert EPL picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Arsenal vs. Leeds United? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Leeds vs. Arsenal, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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