Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, line: Expert reveals 2022 English Premier League picks for May 16

Arsenal has to rebound quickly to keep the upper hand in the race for a top-four spot as it visits Newcastle United on Monday for an English Premier League match. The Gunners (21-3-12) had a chance to clinch a Champions League spot on Thursday against Tottenham, but they were buried 3-0 on the road. Arsenal enters Monday’s match two points behind Spurs in the Premier League table. Newcastle (11-10-15) has turned its season around after a dreadful start and sits 14th in the table, well above the relegation zone. Arsenal won the first meeting this season 2-0 at home, but the Magpies have been stout at St. James’ Park.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET in Newcastle, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Arsenal as the -129 favorite (risk $129 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Newcastle vs. Arsenal odds, with Newcastle the +360 underdog. A draw is priced at +265 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Arsenal vs. Newcastle picks, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Arsenal vs. Newcastle from every angle. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Newcastle vs. Arsenal:

  • Arsenal vs. Newcastle spread: Arsenal -0.5 (-130)
  • Arsenal vs. Newcastle over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Arsenal vs. Newcastle money line: Newcastle +360, Arsenal -129, Draw +265
  • NEW: Newcastle has kept three clean sheets in its past six games
  • ARS: Arsenal has allowed 14 goals in its past eight games

Featured Game | Newcastle United vs. Arsenal

Why you should back Arsenal

The Gunners will come out firing with their Champions League fate on the line. They have won 18 of the past 19 against the Magpies in all competitions and haven’t allowed a goal in the past seven. Arsenal should have no trouble scoring some goals against a Newcastle side that has yielded 61 this season, fourth-most in the Premier League. The Gunners dominated the last matchup in November, possessing the ball for 66 percent of the match and holding a 24-9 advantage in shots.

Arsenal is likely to push forward early to try to get some goals then could sit back and help an ailing defense and try to counter-attack. It has the attacking options to cause a lot of trouble for the Magpies. Bukayo Saka leads the team with 11 goals, one of those coming in the November victory, and Eddie Nketiah has scored four goals in his past six games. Gabriel Martinelli also scored in the last meeting, and he has five goals and five assists.

Why you should back Newcastle

The Magpies are a much different team than the one that appeared headed for relegation early in the season. New manager Eddie Howe was given more players to work with, and while they weren’t notable names, he has molded them into a cohesive team. Newcastle has lost five games since the start of 2022, and four of those were to top-five teams. Arsenal is also in that category, but its defensive issues give Newcastle a clear opportunity. 

Seven of Newcastle’s 11 wins and just five of its 15 losses this season have come at St. James’ Park, and it has scored eight more goals at home.It has won six of its past seven at home, losing only to second-place Liverpool. In fact, the only other teams to win at Newcastle this season were Man City, Tottenham, West Ham and Chelsea

How to make Newcastle vs. Arsenal picks

Green has scrutinized the Arsenal vs. Newcastle match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing those picks here.

So who wins Newcastle vs. Arsenal? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Arsenal vs. Newcastle, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.

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