Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, line: Expert reveals Carabao Cup final picks, best bets for Feb. 27

It’s another showdown between English Premier League powers Liverpool and Chelsea on Sunday, and this time they will be vying for the 2021-22 English League Cup title. The teams have met twice in league play this season, and both matches ended in draws. The meeting at Anfield in August ended 1-1, and the return fixture at Stamford Bridge finished in a 2-2 stalemate. Both teams are loaded with talent, and Liverpool is in a battle with Manchester City for the Premier League title while the Blues are the defending European champions. Chelsea defeated Tottenham 3-0 on aggregate in the semifinals, and the Reds beat Arsenal 2-0 in the second leg of their semifinal matchup after a 0-0 draw in the first.

Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Liverpool is the +135 favorite (risk $100 to win $135) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds from Caesars Sportsbook, with Chelsea the +235 underdog. A draw is listed at +210 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5, with the under juiced to -155. Before making any Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks or any Carabao Cup predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Chelsea vs. Liverpool matchup from every angle and just locked in his coveted picks and EFL Cup final predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Liverpool vs. Chelsea:

  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool spread: Liverpool -0.5 (+125)
  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool over-under: 2.5 goals (over +122, under -155)
  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool money line: Liverpool +135, Chelsea +235, Draw +210
  • CHL: It put 42 percent of its shots on net (37 of 88) in the knockout stage 
  • LVR: It outshot its opponents 76-39 in its past five League Cup matches

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds have been on quite the run in recent weeks, winning nine straight and going unbeaten in 12 in a row overall in all competitions. They scored in at least once in 11 of those, with the only exception the semifinal draw with the Gunners. Mohamed Salah has been the best striker in the Premier League all year, and he scored two more goals in a 6-0 win against Leeds on Wednesday to give him 19 this season. He has 27 in 31 matches in all competitions. Sadio Mane also has been in top form, with 13 goals in all games after scoring twice Wednesday.    

Trent Alexander-Arnold and Salah have both been setting up tons of goals, as well, and they share the Premier League lead with 10 assists apiece. The Reds also could get Diogo Jota back from injury, and he has 17 goals in all competitions. They have scored an EPL-high 70 goals while allowing just 20 in their 26 games. Joel Matip and Virgil Van Dijk both scored Wednesday, but they also are the heart of the back line, with the 6-foot-5 Matip a particularly effective player on both ends. Liverpool has scored at least twice in eight of its past nine overall matches. 

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues beat Manchester City to win the Champions League and have performed very well in the top competitions in recent years. Liverpool has eight EFL Cup titles, its most recent being 10 years ago, while Chelsea has won five and was the champion in 2014-15. The Blues also won the FA Cup in 2017-18 and took the Club World Cup title earlier this year. This match could feature backup goalkeepers, which could give Chelsea the slight edge. Kepa Arrizabalaga has five clean sheets in eight starts overall, while Liverpool’s Caoimhin Kelleher has three in seven.    

Chelsea has had some problems finding a truly dangerous striker, but Timo Werner and Kai Havertz both have the speed and creativity to trouble opposing defenses. They both have six goals, and Romelu Lukaku (eight) could be in the lineup despite his rocky relationship with the club. The Blues haven’t had much trouble scoring, with 49 goals in 25 EPL games, but its strength has been the back line. It has conceded 18 goals, second-fewest in league play, and has three clean sheets in its last four overall. It yielded just two goals in its five EFL Cup knockout-stage games.  

How to make Carabao Cup and Chelsea vs. Liverpool picks

Green has scrutinized the Liverpool vs. Chelsea matchup from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, including one that returns almost 2-1, and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert English League Cup final picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chelsea vs. Liverpool in Sunday’s English League Cup final? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Liverpool vs. Chelsea match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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