With hopes of a Premier League title charge slim to none for Chelsea this season, there’s two competitions that Thomas Tuchel will be hoping his side can win silverware in. The Blues booked their place into the final four of the FA Cup on Saturday as they overcame Championship side Middlesbrough, while they also progressed to the quarter-finals of the Champions League after beating Lille.
The draw for the European title then picked Thomas Tuchel’s men to face Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid in a rematch of last season’s semi-final that went the way of Chelsea. The German coach then went on to win the Champions League in an impressive end to the season for the Blues.
But Los Blancos may provide a different threat this time around, with the likes of Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema finding form this season. Speaking ahead of the match against Middlesbrough, Tuchel discussed the tie with the Madrid side and said: “Tough one. The challenge can not be much higher than playing the second leg in the Bernabeu with spectators. It’s a big challenge but there is bit excitement around this match and fixture. We know what’s coming. It will be an exciting match and a tough challenge.
“It’s nice to play a European team and maybe not at this kind of stage a team you’ve played so many times in domestic competitions.”
The match will also see the two teams reunited once again since Eden Hazard made the switch to the Spanish capital, though he has not been close to his form that he found at Stamford Bridge. Given the tough challenge against Chelsea, they may have to be on top form to defend their Champions League title.
Football predictors FiveThirtyEight have taken a look at the probabilities for each team after the draws of the quarter-final, semi-final and final ties. The Blues are currently given the fourth-best chance out of the remaining eight to win the competition.
They are said to have a 53% chance of making the semi-finals, beating Real Madrid if they are to do so. If they do manage to get past them, the Blues then have to face one of Manchester City or Atletico Madrid, in what could be a repeat of last season’s final.
Chelsea are given a 22% chance of getting to the final, while winning the final is a 9% chance as they would face one of Liverpool, Bayern Munich, Villarreal or Benfica. It represents a potentially slim chance of retaining the title, but the team will be sure to take it one game at a time.
Manchester City are given the best chance out of all the sides to win the final with 29% while Liverpool are second with 26%. Bayern Munich are third with 25% before the Blues. Real Madrid are fifth with 7%, while Villarreal and Atletico Madrid are on 2%.
Benfica are the lowest with less than 1% chance of winning it. It means there could be an uphill task to win it for Chelsea, though they were given little chance of winning it last season.