Manchester City vs. Liverpool odds, picks: Soccer expert reveals Premier League best bets for Sunday, Oct. 3

It’s a battle of English Premier League heavyweights Sunday when Liverpool hosts defending champion Manchester City in a critical early matchup at Anfield. Liverpool (4-2-0) is unbeaten in its nine games in all competitions this season, while Manchester City (4-1-1) lost 2-0 to PSG on Tuesday in the Champions League. The Citizens have allowed one goal in league play, but the Reds lead the EPL in goals. Manchester City is unbeaten in the last three meetings between these clubs, including a 4-1 win at Anfield in February. The series is fairly even, with Pep Guardiola’s City team holding a 6-2-5 edge over Jurge Klopp and Liverpool since Guardiola took the reins in 2016.      

Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Man City as the +145 favorite (risk $100 to win $145) in its latest Liverpool vs. Manchester City odds, while Liverpool is the +185 underdog. A draw is priced at +240, and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Manchester City vs. Liverpool picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to check out what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has looked at Manchester City vs. Liverpool from every possible angle and just released his Premier League expert picks. You can visit SportsLine now to see all of Green’s picks. Here are several odds and betting lines for Liverpool vs. Manchester City:

  • Liverpool vs. Manchester City spread: Man City -0.5 (+140)
  • Liverpool vs. Manchester City over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Liverpool vs. Manchester City moneyline: Liverpool +185, Man City +145, Draw +240  
  • Liverpool: The Reds have 26 goals in nine matches in all competitions this season 
  • Man City: The Citizens have scored 24 goals in their last 10 Premier League matches

Featured Game | Liverpool vs. Manchester City

Why you should back Man City

The Citizens have won two of the past three meetings, with a 9-2 edge in goals and both of Liverpool’s goals coming on penalty kicks. Manchester City’s defense has been as impenetrable as it was last season, when it conceded 32 goals in 38 matches. It has not allowed a league goal since the 55th minute of its surprising opening loss to Spurs and took an impressive 1-0 win against Chelsea in its last EPL match. Goalkeeper Ederson led the league with 19 clean sheets last season and has five already this year.       

The defense is helped by Man City’s control of the ball, as it leads the EPL in possession at 66.5 percent, 5.5 percent better than No. 2 Liverpool. The Reds allowed 12 shots (four on net) in a 3-3 draw with middling Brentford in their last league match, and the Citizens have the firepower to cause them trouble. Midfielder Kevin De Bruyne continues as the engine, and Phil Foden, Gabriel Jesus and Raheem Sterling can all finish their chances. Jesus scored the equalizer in a 1-1 draw last season, and Foden and Sterling tallied in the 4-1 victory in February. 

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds are unbeaten in their nine games in all competitions this season and have scored a league-high 15 goals. Three players have at least three, led by Mohamed Salah with five. Salah and Roberto Firmino both scored twice and Sadio Mane also tallied in a 5-1 win against Porto in a Champions League match Tuesday. Liverpool peppers the net with shots, putting up an EPL-best 140 this season, 26 more than No. 2 Manchester City. The Reds will be eager to re-assert themselves after injuries derailed their chance at defending their title last season.             

Liverpool is 12-5-1 in its last 18 at home against City and has not lost consecutive games in the series since losing four straight from 1935-37. It also is on a 12-4-0 run in Premier League games overall. The Reds won the Champions League in 2019 and the 2019-20 Premier League title, but last season saw devastating long-term injuries to the back line. Virgil Van Djik, Joe Gomez and Joel Matip are back to full strength, and outside of last week’s blip against Brentford the defense has been stout. 

How to make EPL picks for Liverpool vs. Manchester City

Green has analyzed Sunday’s Manchester City vs. Liverpool match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also has revealed two confident best bets, both with plus-money payouts, and has a complete analysis of this English Premier League match. He’s only sharing those EPL picks and his expert Premier League analysis at SportsLine.

So, who wins Liverpool vs. Manchester City in Saturday’s EPL matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Manchester City vs. Liverpool match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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