Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds: Expert reveals 2022 MLS picks for July 16

The Philadelphia Union host the New England Revolution on Saturday in an MLS matchup, and both teams will be looking for an important result. The Union (9-9-2) are trying to solidify their place atop the Eastern Conference, as they lead reigning champion NYCFC by just one point. Meanwhile, the Revolution (6-7-6) are trying to move into playoff position, as it sits ninth in the East table but is just four points out of fourth place. Philadelphia followed up a 7-0 demolition of D.C. United on July 8 with a 2-1 win against Inter Miami on Wednesday. New England will come in with a week off after a 4-2 loss to NYCFC last Saturday. The Union have been excellent at home this season, but the Revolution has been tough in their recent matchups, including a 1-1 draw in the last meeting on May 28.

Kickoff at Subaru Stadium in Philadelphia is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is the -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Union vs. Revolution odds. New England is the +300 underdog, a regulation draw is priced at +275 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union picks, you need to see what soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 10-7 on his MLS picks this season. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and MLS predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union:

  • Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution spread: Philadelphia -0.5 (-115)
  • Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution money line: Philadelphia -115, New England +300, Draw +275
  • PHI: Philadelphia hasn’t allowed more than one goal in any of its past 10 games 
  • NE: New England has scored at least twice in 13 of 19 matches this season 
  • Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution picks: See picks here.

Featured Game | Philadelphia vs. New England

Why you should back the Union

Philadelphia is a team on a mission after it was derailed in pursuit of the title last year. A COVID outbreak left the Union severely shorthanded for the conference final with NYCFC, which won the match and went on to the title. Philly showed its dominance in the win against D.C., when it tied the league record for margin of victory. Julian Carranza had a hat trick, and Alejandro Bedoya and Mikael Uhre scored two goals apiece. Philly is now plus-17 in goal differential.

Midfielder Daniel Gazdag then scored one of the goals against Miami, and he has a team-high eight. Carranza has seven, and Bedoya and Uhre both have five. The Union’s real strength has been their defense and goalkeeper Andre Blake. The Jamaican has an 84.9 save percentage, by far the best in MLS, and eight clean sheets. Philly has allowed 14 goals all season, fewest in the league by a long shot. Five of those have come at home, where it is 5-5-0 in its 10 matches.

Why you should back the Revolution

New England is 2-2-0 in the past four meetings between the teams, and it typically gets off to a very fast start. It has outscored opponents 18-4 in the first half of its games this season, and it has scored the same number of goals (31) as Philadelphia. New England has not been playing great defense, yielding 32 goals. It has allowed six in the past two games, but it hadn’t allowed more than one in its previous five. Three of NYCFC’s goals came with the Revs a man down following an Andrew Farrell red card. 

The Revolution has scored in 17 of their 19 games and has been shut out on the road once this year. Top scorer Adam Buksa (seven goals) transferred to Lens in France’s Ligue 1, but Gustavo Bou has six goals, and five others have at least two. Bou had both goals in the loss to NYCFC. New England should control the game, as it has the fifth-best possession rate in MLS (54.9 percent), while Philadelphia has the second-worst (41.3). 

How to make Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution picks

Green has analyzed the New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, including one that would pay plus money, and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert MLS picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union match, all from the soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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