Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds: Soccer expert reveals 2022 La Liga picks, bets for May 8

Real Madrid will try to continue its dominance of its bitter rival on Sunday when it visits Wanda Metropolitano Stadium to face Atletico Madrid in a Spanish La Liga match. Real Madrid (25-6-3) has not lost a league matchup to Atletico since 2016, and while it has already sealed the league title, it is unlikely to rest many players for El Derbi Madrileño. Los Blancos pulled off a stunning Champions League victory against Manchester City on Wednesday, and they will look to spoil their rival’s season before resting up for the May 28 final against Liverpool. Atletico (18-7-9) will be going all-out for points as it tries to hold on to its fourth-place spot and earn a trip to next season’s Champions League. It is three points up on fifth-place Real Betis but faces a daunting remaining schedule and needs to get a result Sunday.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atletico as the +109 favorite (risk $100 to win $109) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds, with Real the +250 underdog. A draw is priced at +250 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before locking in Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid picks, you need to see what soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid from all sides and just locked in his picks and La Liga predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid:

  • Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid spread: Atletico -0.5 (+100)
  • Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid money line: Atletico +109, Real +250, Draw +250
  • ATM: Atletico has 17 goals in its past 10 league games but was shut out three times
  • RMA: Real Madrid has scored at least twice in 12 of its past 13 matches in all competitions

Why you should back Atletico Madrid

Los Rojiblancos will have the home crowd behind them, and they have lost just two games at Wanda Metropolitano this season. They won the league title last season, so the talent is there, but the defense struggled for most of the season. Manager Diego Simeone has tweaked some things, and Atletico has yielded just seven goals over its past 10 games. It has given up some of its scoring prowess in the process, but it still has the third-most goals in the league with 59. Angel Correa and Luis Suarez, who have 11 league goals apiece, are both capable scorers.

Joao Felix (eight goals) is recovering from a hamstring injury, but Yannick Carrasco (five goals) and Matheus Cunha (five) also are dangerous on the attacking end. Thomas Lemar (four goals five assists) also is out, but Antoine Griezmann (three goals, two assists) can set his teammates up for success. Atletico has allowed the fewest shots (304) and shots on target (83) in La Liga, and it held Real to seven attempts and three on target in the last meeting.

Why you should back Real Madrid

It isn’t clear how manager Carlo Ancelotti will play it Sunday, but he could go after a win in this rivalry match and rest his players later. That would mean Karim Benzema (league-high 26 goals) and Vinicius Junior (14) would be out there. Rodrygo could join them — or play a bigger role if either sits out — after scoring two huge goals in Wednesday’s UCL victory. Rodrygo has six goals in his last six appearances. Benzema has scored at least once in 12 of his last 14 matches in all competitions, including the winner on a penalty kick against Man City. He also leads La Liga with 11 assists.

Los Blancos also have a superb midfield, with veterans Toni Kroos and Luka Modric setting up the attackers and Casemiro playing relentlessly on both ends. Los Rojiblancos haven’t won a league matchup against their rivals since 2016, with Real outscoring them 6-1 in the past four. Real is the highest-scoring team in the league (73 goals) while conceding the second-fewest goals (29). Atletico also has failed to score in five of its past six games overall, while Real has 18 goals over the same span. Los Blancos have gained one more point on the road than they have at home this season.

How to make Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid picks

Green has scrutinized the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets, both offering plus-money payouts, and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing those picks here.

Who wins Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid in Sunday’s La Liga matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.

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